Spreading across the globe, coronavirus poses significant macroeconomic and microeconomic risks. Publicly discussed scenarios that were at first “cautiously benign or pessimistic” are now “pessimistic and extremely pessimistic”. In early March Moody’s analytics doubled its recession probability for 2020, from 20% to 40%. In late March, however, it estimated a sharp fall in economic activity [...]

A slowdown in production and demand in the automotive industry will have a huge impact on EU jobs and the entire automotive supply chain. CFOs and corporate treasurers will be under pressure to assure liquidity and strong balance sheets in order to gain new projects. Producers of complementary parts for combustion engines might reconsider their [...]

Uncertainty mostly related to trade policy could in case of a further increase adversely affect business investment planes and lead to a worse outcome according to the new European Economic Forecast for Autumn 2019 conducted by the European Commission. Even though the EU economy is already affected by plenty of external headwinds, there is still [...]

Sve su oči čvrsto fiksirane na 29. ožujak 2019. To je datum kada će Velika Britanija najvjerojatnije napustiti EU, nakon što je 29. ožujka ove godine (2017.) pokrenula članak 50. Prva sigurnost koju imamo jest, da ta neizvjesnost prožima zrak oko Brexita! Utjecaj Brexita proći će kroz izravne kanale, s različitim stupnjevima težine ovisno o [...]